Sarov 

 Nizhni Novgorod Region

Gymnasia № 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The topic of project:

 

“Outer Space”: Next Frontier for Proliferation or Forum for Cooperation?

 

Benchmark III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Student:                                                            

Kirill Kovaldov                                                                           

Grade 10                                                                                        

Gymnasia # 2

 

 

 

2007

 

 

Benchmark III.

 

             In Benchmark III I am going to use  the knowledge I have gained thus far in Benchmark I and in Benchmark II. I will try to determine the kinds of issues andor problems that might arise in the development of space, and how these problems might be contained and controlled. I will focus on the identification and analysis of scenario for the future.

 

 

STAR WARS

 

C:\Documents and Settings\Dane\Мои документы\Мои рисунки\200px-StarWarsMoviePoster1977.jpg 

http://images.yandex.ru/

 

      The galaxy is in a state of civil war... The Rebel Alliance has stolen plans to the Galactic Empire's Death Star, a space station capable of annihilating a planet. The plans were transmitted to the rebel blockade runner Tantive IV, a ship in the service of Princess Leia Organa of Alderaan. Imperial stormtroopers take control of the ship, and Darth Vader arrives to assess the damage. Before she is captured, Leia entrusts the plans and a holographic recording into a small droid named R2-D2. R2-D2 and his partner, C-3PO, board an escape pod and crash on the planet Tatooine.

On Tatooine, the droids navigate the desert until they are captured by Jawas. The next day, the Jawas sell the droids to Owen Lars and his nephew, Luke Skywalker. Luke accidentally triggers part of the holographic message, making him suspect that R2-D2 is stolen property belonging to "Obi-Wan Kenobi." Returning to his garage at sunset, Luke discovers that R2-D2 has escaped. After finding him, Luke and C-3PO are attacked by Sandpeople and rescued by Obi-Wan Kenobi. Luke and the droids are brought to Obi-Wan's hut, where Obi-Wan tells of his days as a Jedi Knight and reveals to Luke that his father was also a Jedi skilled in a mysterious energy field called the Force. When Luke asks how his father died, Obi-Wan replies that he was "betrayed and murdered" by Darth Vader. Finally, they view the holographic message from Princess Leia, who asks Obi-Wan to take the droid and the plans to the planet Alderaan. Obi-Wan invites Luke to accompany him to Alderaan; Luke refuses, citing his household responsibilities. After returning home, Luke discovers that his family has been murdered and his home has been destroyed by the Stormtroopers looking for the droids. He returns to Obi-Wan and decides to go to Alderaan and become a Jedi. At Mos Eisley Spaceport, the group encounters a smuggler named Han Solo, who agrees to transport them on his ship, the Millennium Falcon. When Obi-Wan and his companions reach the ship, they are attacked by Stormtroopers. They hastily board the Millennium Falcon, make a speedy launch, and dodge attacks in space before escaping to lightspeed.

Meanwhile, Leia has resisted interrogation on the Death Star. When threatened with the destruction of her home planet of Alderaan, however, she bluffs and states that the Rebel Base is on Dantooine. Grand Moff Tarkin destroys Alderaan anyway, as a display of the Death Star's power. En route to Alderaan, Obi-Wan instructs Luke in the Force. When they arrive at Alderaan's location, the crew discovers only a hail of debris and a moon-sized space station - the Death Star. A tractor beam pulls the Falcon into the Death Star; inside, Obi-Wan attempts to disable it so that the group can escape. Upon learning that Leia is awaiting execution in a nearby prison cell, the rest of the group navigates through the station and rescues the princess. After deactivating the tractor beam, Kenobi engages in a lightsaber duel with Vader. The duel distracts the guards, allowing Luke and his companions to board the Falcon. Once he sees that they are safely near the ship, Obi-Wan allows Vader to strike him down. Luke screams in horror, gaining the attention of the Stormtroopers, who attack Luke and his companions. So that is the end of the Ep. IV. http://en.wikipedia.org

 

C:\Documents and Settings\Dane\Мои документы\Мои рисунки\350px-A_NEW_HOPE-1_DVD_no_black_bars.jpg

http://images.yandex.ru

       So, the main problem in this movie is a struggle between the Empire and the Republic. And it really doesn’t matter which side you keep or whether you’re in this war or not because this war won’t leave you aside. Both the Empire and the Republic seek for allies to get advantage. Every nation should make a choice.

But is it really good to enter a war? If we examine all ‘Star Wars’ movies, we’ll find out that the Republic tried to negotiate at first. But it was not a success, because the Empire always led those negotiations to armed conflicts. So, the next ‘wise’ choice was to call a meeting of the representatives of all nations and to decide which sanctions would be sent against the Empire. That’s what they tried to do but they also failed. So, I think that the war was inevitable.

And if I was given a chance to write a sequel to the ‘Star Wars’ story I would write these lines: And then Luke Skywalker, the jedi master, leaved for the planet of Yavin IV and tried to restore the balance in Galaxy. He rebuilt ancient Massasi temples and originated an academy here with the help of his friends from the Republic and started to spread jedi teachings all over the galaxy seeking the eternal peace. Many gifted students came to his academy and later turned into great jedis who were to maintain peace in years to come. But then Luke sensed a disturbance in the Force and…here goes Ep. VII 

 

Scenerios For The Future

 

          What will happen if a nation that up to now has not been known to be pursuing a space program has suddenly announced that it has successfully orbited a ‘military vehicle’? There will be a response. The first to respond, I think, will be the countries that are not interested in the one’s nation economic progress. Then they will activate the ‘chain’. It will be like a chemical reaction. They will initiate an investigation and, of course, they will try to draw attention of some international treaties.                  So, a lot of ‘examine groups’ will come to the one’s nation to estimate possible dangers. And then only sanctions and sanctions and sanctions, because orbiting a ‘military unit’ without a permission of certain treaties is an extraordinary act that endangers everyone.  

 

 

CHINA

 

http://www.tuvy.com/chinese/info/flag

 

 

         The scope of mankind's activities has experienced expansion from land to ocean, from ocean to atmosphere, and from atmosphere to outer space. Space technology, which emerged in the 1950s, opened up a new era of man's exploration of outer space. Having developed rapidly for about half a century, mankind's space activities have scored remarkable achievements, greatly promoted the development of social productivity and progress, and produced profound and far-reaching effects. Space technology has turned out to be one field of high technology that exerts the most profound influence on modern society. The continuous development and application of space technology has become an important endeavor in the modernization drive of countries all over the world.

 

      The Chinese nation created a glorious civilization in the early stage of mankind's history. The gunpowder "rocket" invented by ancient Chinese was the embryo of modern space rockets. After the People's Republic of China was founded in 1949, China carried out space activities on its own, and succeeded in developing and launching its first man-made satellite in 1970. China has made eye-catching achievements, and now ranks among the world's most advanced countries in some important fields of space technology.

 

       In the 21st century, China will continue to promote the development of its space industry in the light of its national situation, and make due contributions to the peaceful use of outer space, and to the civilization and progress of mankind.

 

        At the turn of the century, it is of significance to give a brief introduction to the aims and principles, present situation, future development and international cooperation concerning China’s space activities.

 

        Since its birth in 1956, China's space program has gone through several important stages of development: arduous pioneering, overall development in all related fields, reform and revitalization, and international cooperation.

 Now it has reached a considerable scale and level. A comprehensive system of research, design, production and testing has been formed. Space centers capable of launching satellites of various types and manned spacecraft as well as a Telemetry Tracking and Command network consisting of ground stations across the country and tracking and telemetry ships are in place.

A number of satellite application systems have been established and have yielded remarkable social and economic benefits.

 A space science research system of a fairly high level has been set up and many innovative achievements have been made. And a contingent of qualified space scientists and technicians has come to the fore.

 

       China's space industry was developed on the basis of weak infrastructure industries and a relatively backward scientific and technological level, under special national and historical conditions. In the process of carrying out space activities independently, China has opened a road of development unique to its national situation and scored a series of important achievements with relatively small input and within a relatively short span of time.

        Now, China ranks among the most advanced countries in the world in many important technological fields, such as satellite recovery, multi-satellite launch with a single rocket, rockets with cryogenic fuel, strap-on rockets and launch of geo-stationary satellites. Significant achievements have also been gained in the development and application of remote- sensing satellites and telecommunications satellites, and in manned spacecraft testing and space micro-gravity experiments.

 

        China attaches importance to developing all kinds of application satellites and satellite application technology, and has made great progress in satellite remote-sensing, satellite telecom and satellite navigation. Remote-sensing and telecommunications satellites account for about 71% of the total number of satellites developed and launched by China. These satellites have been widely utilized in all aspects of economy, science and technology, culture, and national defense, and yielded remarkable social and economic returns. Related departments of the state have also made active use of foreign application satellites for application technology studies, with satisfactory results.

 

INDIA

 

 http://images.yandex.ru

 

         After regaining independence in 1947 India focused all its energy in nation building, focused on economic and industrial development fully understanding the key role of science and technology. Indian rocketry was reborn thanks to technological vision of Prime Minster Jawaharlal Nehru. Proffessor Vikram Sarabhai took the challenge of realizing this dream. Professor Vikram Sarabhai was an able leader and visionary who gave shape to modern Indian rocketry and space endeavors. As Dr. APJ Kalam said "Many individual with myopic vision questioned the relevance of space activities in a newly independent nation, which was finding it difficult to feed its population. Their vision was clear if Indians were to play meaningful role in the community of nations, they must be second to none in the application of advanced technologies to their real-life problems. They had no intention of using it as a mean to display our might".

        INCOSPAR (Indian Committee for Space Research) lead by Prof Sarabhai was then part of Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (TIFR) (lead by it's director MGK Menon). In 1962 INCOSPAR took the decision to setup Thumba Equatorial Rocket Launching Station (TERLS) at Thumba (Trivandrum also known as Thiruvananthapuram) on the southern tip of India very close to earth's magnetic equator. Dr. APJ Abdul Kalam (now President of Indian Republic) was amongst the initial team of rocket engineer forming the INCOSPAR. The initial team went to America for 6 months training program on sounding rocket launching techniques. Upon launching the first sounding rocket (Nike-Apache) on the 21 of November, 1963, Proffessor Sarabhai shared with his team his dream of an Indian Satellite Launch Vehicle.

 

         The Rohini Sounding Rocket (RSR) program to develop indigenously developed and fabricated sounding rockets launched the first single-stage Rohini (RH-75) rocket (32 Kg rocket with 7 Kg payload to ~10 Km altitude) in 1967, followed by a two-stage Rohini rocket (100 kg payload to over 320

Km altitude). Apart from Indian payload, sounding rockets from many other countries (including USA, Russia, Japan, France and Germany) were also lunched from Thumba, as part of mutual international collaboration. TERLS developed infrastructure for all aspects of rocketry, ranging from rocket design, rocket propellant, rocket motor casting, integration, payload-assembly, testing, evaluation besides building subsystems like payload housing and jettisonable nose cone. Fiber Reinforced Plastics composite materials for nosecone were used in early programs at TERLS.

 

        Recognizing the immense socio-economic benefits of space technology in 1969 full steam go ahead was given for launching satellite launch vehicles and large rockets, Sriharikota situated on the east coast of south India (100 Km north of Chennai) was chosen as Rocket Launch Station (SHAR RLS) for launching satellite launch vehicles and large rockets to leverage from earths rotational velocity from west to east. On the 15 of August, 1969, INCOSPAR was reconstituted and Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) was created under Department of Atomic Agency (DEA) to conduct space research and application. Prof Vikram Sarabhai had hand picked a team to realize an Indian Satellite Launch Vehicle (SLV). The shoestring budget for R&D and space program forced ISRO to seek participation from civilian industry since its early days. In 1972 the Indian Government set up the Space Commission and entrusted Department of Space (DOS) with responsibility for conducting the country's space activities. While ISRO is main developer of launcher and satellite systems, it is complemented by two separate agencies INSAT (Telecommunications) and IRS (Remote Sensing). All of ISRO's commercial and marketing activities are handled by Antrix Corp. Ltd, which was created on November 1992 by ISRO.

 

SURVEY

                                       

 

Perspectives

China

India

Economic growth

-

+

Political stability

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-

Social stability

-

+

Accountability

+

+

Evolving technologies

+

+

Security

+

+

Environment

+

+

Economics

-

+

Exploration

+

+

 

 

       China will lose points in ‘Economics’, ’Social stability’, ‘Political stability’, ‘Economic’ growth. It can be explained by sanctions that may be sent against China because of its’ aggressive behavior.

 

 

 

INCIDENTS

C:\Documents and Settings\Dane\Мои документы\Мои рисунки\concept1.jpg

www.lucas.arts.com

 

Do you want to make it look like that?

C:\Documents and Settings\Dane\Мои документы\Мои рисунки\GG_Bridge_Tiberium_Infested.jpg

www.lucas.arts.com

 

Or, may be, like that ?

 

       Try to imagine a world where the weather went mad and human beings were threatened. Just imagine that all humanity relied just on a ‘weather-control’ satellite. And then it’s being attacked and taken down by terrorists. What will happen? Will everything go crazy? Yes, it will, because weather is a vital aspect of our existence.       

           Let’s try to cover the whole incident.

       The first thing is that attack was a total surprise. So, it was a shock. A lot of people probably got confused and started to panic. So a lot of noise and rising dust and all and all and all. Where was the government (as an example we may take a single country or the whole world)? Of course, the officials initiated a full-scale immediate investigation to trace suspected culprits (terrorists). Was it to help? May be yes. Also the government would try to flood the areas of ‘panic’ with military units to shut down all panic and to prevent possible accidents. 

But still we have a major problem to solve. It’s the weather. Let’s assume that the destroyed satellite was all high-tech and to build it all the mankind came through a lot of inconveniences and hardships. I bet the government won’t be able to send another satellite into an orbit. Even in these conditions they have to build a new satellite to survive.

                                                                    

      You will agree that the space program has a positive impact on our daily lives. Our desire to explore life beyond our own planet has pushed us to create amazing machines to help us along that journey. But we must keep in mind that these machines  are to be our assistants and helpmates.
       It is clear to everybody that  a wide discussion must take place somewhere in the future of the positive experience of developing space technologies in the interests of national economy development, questions related to a long-term prospect of utilizing Moon resources in the interests of Earth’s ecologically clean power engineering development.

      Being a Russian citizen I can say that our country’s achievements in space exploration must be used to promote Russia's economic development.

 "Achievements made in space must benefit Russian regions, and promote their economic development and the introduction of the most advanced know-how," our presedent V. Putin said once.

       He said "Russia's geographical and geopolitical features, vast territory, long borders and rich natural resources must be handled effectively with the use of our growing space potential."

       We understand that although positive changes are taking place, Russia still has much to do to achieve real success.

    "The space industry must develop at an accelerating rate, stimulating progress in other economic sectors and becoming an instrument for solving many other important tasks, strengthening Russia's information space, and developing telecommunications and navigation systems," Putin said. The space industry must ensure effective prospecting and rational utilization of natural resources and enhance the prediction of natural disasters, he said.

        In one of the interviews the president said that international cooperation in space research is extremely important for jointly solving economic, scientific and environmental problems. "Space programs are one of the key factors of our development. They guarantee Russia's high status as a country of advanced know-how, and undoubtedly play an important role in strengthening the country's national security and economy, and in making Russia more competitive," Putin said. www.gateway2russia.com

       I am sure that any president of any country thinking about he future of his country  can say the same words.

     To my mind the exploration of space is one of the most ambitious scientific and technological endeavours ever undertaken.We respects the expectations of international partners, and we strongly support and believe in the value of international cooperation in space.

http://en.rian.ru/world/20070203/60160879.html

 

 

BIBLIOGRAPHY                                           

1. http://images.yandex.ru

2  http://en.wikipedia.org

 

3. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Death_Star.jpg

 

4. http://www.tuvy.com/chinese/info/flag

 

5. www.starwars.com

 

6. www.lucas.arts.com

 

7. www.ea.com

8. http://en.rian.ru/world/20070203/60160879.html